Inflation, Rates & Recession Fears: What Trade Business Owners Should Watch This Quarter

A man in an office reviews charts and graphs on paper, representing small business SEO services analysis.

Inflation, Rates & Recession Fears: What Trade Business Owners Should Watch This Quarter

A man in an office reviews charts and graphs on paper, representing small business SEO services analysis.

Inflation, Rates & Recession Fears: What Trade Business Owners Should Watch This Quarter

Michael Marchese

September 25, 2025

Michael Marchese

September 25, 2025

Key Takeaways:

  • The Fed just cut interest rates, but it won’t be enough to boost spending on home services.
  • Contractors are still dealing with high material prices and slow demand, and this trend is here to stay.
  • Now is not the time to cut your marketing spending. Instead, you should be working with small business SEO services to get seen online.

The Federal Reserve just cut interest rates for the first time since December 2024. But is it enough to bring you more business?

Everyone is feeling the pinch, and between rising material costs and homeowners delaying big projects, your crews might not be as busy as you’d like.

Unfortunately, this trend is here to stay, and a small cut to interest rates won’t reverse it, at least not yet. Right now, your focus should be on showing up in search results and getting as many referrals as possible, so you can keep growing in this difficult market.

What Inflation and Rates Actually Mean for Your Trade Business

What do interest rates actually mean for your business? Interest rates are a tool the Federal Reserve uses to control inflation and economic growth. Here’s how it works:

  • Lower rates mean borrowing money costs less. As a result, people are more likely to make big purchases and apply for home renovation loans.
  • When rates go up, financing is less attractive. Americans tend to slow down their spending and save up instead.

The Fed just cut interest rates by a quarter of a point, but rates are still high. You also have to account for inflation:

  • When rates are high, spending slows down, and there is less demand for goods and services. It’s supposed to bring inflation down since businesses have to keep their costs down to attract consumers.
  • However, there are other factors at play. When it comes to the materials you use, prices have been high since COVID because of supply chain and labor challenges, without mentioning tariffs.

The reality is that you’re spending hundreds more on materials, and it’s hard to give customers a discount. As repair and renovation prices go up, they turn to financing but find that they have to pay 10% or more on interest. The result? That kitchen renovation will have to wait until 2026.

Why Now Is Not the Time to Cut Your Marketing Budget

Things are slow for your crews, and the customers who call you are looking for cheap repairs. You might also run into limitations due to higher interest rates on the business lines of credit you use.

Reviewing your budget is a smart move, but don’t make the mistake of cutting back on content marketing, ads, or SEO. Here’s why:

  • With fewer customers ready to spend money on jobs, the market is highly competitive. Good visibility in search results is key.
  • As competitors struggle and invest less in marketing, there are cheaper opportunities to get your ads out there.
  • It could be a while before the economy is strong again. With organic marketing, you’re building your online presence now to stay visible and get jobs even during future lulls.

Cutting your marketing budget is a mistake, but you need to make sure you spend that money wisely. It’s where small business SEO services come in, with strategies that get you seen in local searches from people who are ready to hire a contractor.

3 Things You Can Do Right Now to Stay Ahead

Rather than cutting your marketing budget, you should make a few changes and focus on what really works for your business.

There are three simple things you can do today:

  • Take a hard look at where clicks and jobs come from. Which sources are actually bringing you jobs?
  • Review your online presence, including your website, blog, Google Business profile, directory listings, and social media. Is everything accurate, and does it load fast?
  • Do you have a marketing provider? Contact them to find out what they’re doing to help your business adapt to this difficult market.

When reviewing your home services digital marketing strategy, prioritize the activities that actively bring you more jobs and support growth.

Here are a few proven strategies to consider:

  • Local SEO. Homeowners still turn to Google to look for home services, and ranking first makes a huge difference.
  • Job photos. It’s a simple but effective way to build trust.
  • Reviews. When competition is high, great reviews can help you stand out.
  • Email reminders. Building relationships with customers and guiding them as they plan their projects is more important than ever.

Effective marketing can look different for each business. It’s why you should work with a small business SEO service with expertise in the trades and a solid track record of getting jobs for businesses in your industry.

Not Sure What’s Working? We’ll Show You in Plain English.

Need help with your marketing? Tempesta Media is here to get you results, and we’ll do it with simple and transparent solutions that work.

We’ve helped over 400 businesses with our results-first approach, technology, and knowledge of the trades. Thanks to our comprehensive range of products, we can personalize our approach and create a marketing plan that works for you, no matter how big or small your business is.

Schedule your discovery call now so our trades marketing experts can figure out the best way to help.

FAQ

What do lower interest rates mean for contractors?

The Fed just cut interest rates for the first time since December 2024, but rates still remain high. It means homeowners have to spend more to finance major projects and often delay renovations.

How can home services stand out in a competitive market?

Focus on local search results. If your business shows up at the top, you’ll be far more likely to get jobs.

Which marketing strategies work best for contractors in the trades?

Develop your online presence through local SEO and content. Optimize your Google Business profile, manage your online reviews, and prioritize good communication with prospects.

Picture of Michael Marchese

Michael Marchese

Michael is the founder and CEO of Tempesta Media. He is responsible for corporate strategy, executive team leadership, and overall business operations across all the company's segments. With over 25 years of experience, he has held various strategic and operating positions. As a recognized expert, he has served on numerous committees for the following industry associations: SEMPO (Search Engine Marketing Professionals Organization), IAB (Internet Advertising Bureau), CGA (Casual Gaming Association), and the MMA (Mobile Marketing Association).

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